The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rangers de Talca 41.5%
Draw 27.2%
Deportes Magallanes 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.8%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
27.9%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rangers de Talca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rangers de Talca's performance.
Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rangers de Talca than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rangers de Talca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Magallanes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rangers de Talca - Deportes Magallanes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Campestrini C. (G) 13. Mora A. 27. Servetti C. 16. Rigazzi L. 3. Vasquez K. 8. Marquez A. (C) 19. Gonzalez D. 10. Rozas I. 24. Gomez T. 9. Arias J. 39. Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
17. Zozaya J. P. (G) 3. Walters A. 4. Vasquez M. 6. James J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 22. Meneses C. 7. Toledo A. 10. Jorquera C. 21. Quiroz J. 9. Peraza F. 11. Fredes M.
Substitutes
14. Acuna S. 37. Castro M. 25. Cerda F. (G) 5. Cortes M. 22. Plaza D. 18. Rodriguez A. 11. Vicuna M.
23. Alegre M. 35. Cabezas V. 5. Liuzzi B. 1. Munoz J. (G) 20. Neira E. 16. Osorio M. 24. Yanez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Arias J. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Fredes M. ⚽,
14', Quiroz J. 🟨,
23', 2 - 1, Arias J. (Penalty Awarded),
37', Meneses C. 🟥,
42', Salinas Flores H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fredes M. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
49', Alegre M. 🟨,
60', Salinas Flores H. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
61', Gomez T. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
61', Marquez A. 🟨,
63', Arias J. 🟨,
66', Quiroz J. 🟨,
69', Jorquera C. ↓, Osorio M. ↑,
69', Peraza F. ↓, Cabezas V. ↑,
73', Mesias Gonzalez I. S. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
73', Vasquez K. ↓, Acuna S. ↑,
80', Walters A. ↓, Liuzzi B. ↑,
81', Mora A. ↓, Cortes M. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Alegre M. ⚽,
90+1', Marquez A. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 3, Alegre M. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 1.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Magallanes has had a series of home games.
Rangers might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rangers won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rangers won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Magallanes
26
12
7
7
42:38
4
43
16
Rangers
26
4
6
16
23:42
-19
18
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Magallanes - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Campestrini C. (G) 
Mora A. 
Servetti C. 
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