The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 43.5%
Draw 28.5%
Deportes Magallanes 28%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
26.3%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
24.3%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Deportes Magallanes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Marcos de Arica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Magallanes Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 34. Barboza A. 8. Barrios A. 33. Benavides E. 15. Cubillos G. 19. Maidana A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 26. Rencoret C. 5. Rivera J. 10. Sagredo B.
1. Munoz J. (G) 32. Coronel S. 19. Farfan R. 11. Fredes M. 22. Meneses C. 9. Peraza F. 21. Quiroz J. 30. Salinas Flores H. 7. Toledo A. 4. Vasquez M. 3. Walters A.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 23. Cazula A. 14. Guerra C. 4. Iturra M. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
23. Alegre M. 35. Cabezas V. 6. James J. 20. Neira E. 16. Osorio M. 38. Sanchez B. (G) 24. Yanez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Cubillos G. 🟨,
33', Rencoret C. 🟨,
36', Walters A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Benavides E. ⚽,
52', Meneses C. 🟨,
59', Coronel S. ↓, Yanez F. ↑,
59', Fredes M. ↓, Neira E. ↑,
68', Aguila Bastias Y. M. 🟨,
69', Rencoret C. ↓, Guerra C. ↑,
69', Benavides E. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
69', Maidana A. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
70', Peraza F. ↓, Alegre M. ↑,
70', Quiroz J. ↓, Osorio M. ↑,
75', Walters A. 🟨,
77', Barboza A. 🟨,
82', Toledo A. ↓, James J. ↑,
83', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
83', Rivera J. ↓, Cazula A. ↑,
84', James J. 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', Alegre M. 🟨,
87', Neira E. 🟨,
90+4', Guerra C. 🟥,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 2.
Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
San Marcos de Arica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
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Tapia B. (G) 
Barboza A. 
Maidana A. 
Zedan N. 
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