Match Info

Date: 16 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio BBVA Bancomer (Monterrey)

Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)


	Raya2 Expansión		Venados

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.07	2.9	3.55
	2.08	3.05	3.35
	2.15	3.09	3.9
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.06	3.16	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.23)	3.01 ↑ (2.98)	3.52 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raya2 Expansión
43.8%

Draw
30.3%

Venados
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

31%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raya2 Expansión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Raya2 Expansión - Venados Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Venados will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Raya2 Expansión will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Raya2 Expansión won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Raya2 Expansión won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.08.22	Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
03.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
27.07.22	Tlaxcala - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlante	0:0 ✺
13.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Raya2 Expansión	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TTTTW
- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.08.22	Venados - Dorados	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Leones Negros UdeG - Venados	4:0 ✺
29.07.22	Venados - Atlético Morelia	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Alacranes de Durango - Venados	1:1 ✺
14.07.22	Venados - Celaya	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.03.22	Raya2 Expansión - Venados	3:3
17.08.21	Venados - Raya2 Expansión	1:1

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