Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Pontevedra		Gimnástica de Torrelavega

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.33	8.25
	1.29	4.4	9.8
	1.35	4.49	9.38
	1.34	4.29	9.23	Watch
	1.34	4.6	8.4
	1.29	4.4	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.64)	4.42 ↑ (3.3)	9.14 ↑ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
69.3%

Draw
20.7%

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

27.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.6%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontevedra's performance.

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástica de Torrelavega might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontevedra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástica de Torrelavega could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pontevedra - Gimnástica de Torrelavega Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, de Almeida D. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Garay B. ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Pontevedra in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Torrelavega is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Torrelavega could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Pontevedra is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Pontevedra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.12.24	Laredo - Pontevedra	0:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Pontevedra - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.24	Pontevedra - Salamanca	3:1 ✺
24.11.24	Llanera - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
19.11.24	Pontevedra - Levante	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WWWTW
- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Compostela	2:0 ✺
01.12.24	Valladolid B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:3 ✺
24.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Laredo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.01.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Pontevedra	1:2
03.09.23	Pontevedra - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2

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