Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.04	3.38
	2.27	3.04	3.38
	2.15	3.06	3.45
	2.13	3	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	3.04 ↓ (3.16)	3.35 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
42.3%

Draw
30.2%

Sestao
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.3%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 4. Suarez P. 3. Casado J. 23. Camacho S. 6. Arnedo A. 18. Tavares R. 8. Juanjo 10. Perez P. 22. Esteban H. 7. Enri R.	1. Puig S. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Martinez G. (C) 12. Mirapeix D. 3. Mateo A. 21. Guruzeta J. 14. Gete A. 19. Corbalan A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 7. Aranzabe A.
Substitutes
28. Adeniyi M. 20. Carrion A. 14. Claverias A. 15. Hermoso K. 16. Nakai T. 21. Reguera F. 17. Ro 11. Rubi 13. Sarr C. (G)	15. Alayeto I. 9. Cabo J. 4. Camero M. 28. Del Rio A. 24. Garcia P. (G) 16. Jimenez A. 17. Lobato R. 20. Sanz I. 11. Uriarte K.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Rayo Majadahonda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Sestao is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Majadahonda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.11.23	Osasuna B - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.11.23	Sestao - Fuenlabrada	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
08.11.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	3:4 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.23	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Tarazona - Sestao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.01.17	Rayo Majadahonda - Sestao	1:1
20.08.16	Sestao - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0
13.02.16	Sestao - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0
27.09.15	Rayo Majadahonda - Sestao	1:0

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