Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Osasuna B		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.5
	1.71	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.4	5	Watch
	1.77	3.61	4.75
	1.74	3.61	4.75
	1.8	3.1	3.75
	1.68	3.54	4.9
	1.7	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)	3.45 ↑ (3)	4.54 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
53.2%

Draw
26.6%

Rayo Majadahonda
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

29.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

26.1%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osasuna B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Osasuna B - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Stamatakis D. (G) 15. Molina G. 2. Moreno J. 4. Garriz I. 3. Boiro A. 19. Svensson M. 17. Aguilar Elizalde E. 8. Osambela A. 21. Garcia J. 10. Yoldi A. 9. Aguirre J.	13. Sarr C. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 4. Suarez P. 3. Casado J. 23. Camacho S. 19. Fernandez A. 8. Juanjo 6. Arnedo A. 18. Tavares R. 10. Perez P. 7. Enri R.
Substitutes
36. Arguibide I. 34. Auria M. 7. Azcona R. 11. Bujan U. 22. Dufur A. 18. Echegoyen M. 12. Leiva A. 5. Mutilva C. 6. Rabadan D. 13. Ramos D. (G) 30. Sancho D. 1. Valencia P. (G)	28. Adeniyi M. 14. Claverias A. 22. Esteban H. 15. Hermoso K. 16. Nakai T. 21. Reguera F. 17. Ro 30. Roze V. (G) 11. Rubi

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Osasuna B is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rayo Majadahonda is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Osasuna B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Osasuna B is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.11.23	Fuenlabrada - Osasuna B	4:1 ✺
05.11.23	Osasuna B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Barcelona B - Osasuna B	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Osasuna B - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
14.10.23	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLW
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.11.23	Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW

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