Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Ponferradina		Rayo Majadahonda

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.57	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.81	5.44
	1.63	3.81	5.44
	1.6	3.62	5.55
	1.59	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	3.68 ↑ (3.45)	5.28 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
57.6%

Draw
25%

Rayo Majadahonda
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

26.8%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

21.7%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5%)

Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Sibille K. 15. Leal A. 20. Javi Lancho 19. Lopez A. 12. Claveria P. 8. Llonch P. 6. Igbekeme J. 7. Gomez E. 10. Yuri (C)	1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 4. Suarez P. 3. Casado J. 23. Camacho S. 8. Juanjo 21. Reguera F. 18. Tavares R. 22. Esteban H. 7. Enri R. 28. Adeniyi M.
Substitutes
18. Abelenda B. 26. Aussi A. 14. Cerda J. 11. Dacosta R. 2. Diez A. 5. Fernandez J. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 21. Palanca 23. Prendes M. 9. Vazquez A.	6. Arnedo A. 14. Claverias A. 9. Cortes J. 19. Fernandez A. 16. Nakai T. 10. Perez P. 17. Ro 11. Rubi 13. Sarr C. (G)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Majadahonda is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Majadahonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ponferradina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.11.23	Teruel - Ponferradina	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Barbastro - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Ponferradina - Leonesa	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Real Unión de Irun - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTT
- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.11.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Real Sociedad B - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
28.01.18	Rayo Majadahonda - Ponferradina	1:1
10.09.17	Ponferradina - Rayo Majadahonda	4:0

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