Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	1.95	3.2	3.5
	1.8	3.55	3.65
	1.93	3.44	3.94
	1.87	3.4	3.78
	1.94	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.37 ↓ (3.49)	3.59 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
47.8%

Draw
26.9%

Ceuta
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

25.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	15.4%	23.1%

Rayo Majadahonda - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rayo Majadahonda will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Ceuta will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Majadahonda: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Rayo Majadahonda has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ceuta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Majadahonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ceuta have a series of guest games.

Rayo Majadahonda will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.09.22	Córdoba - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
11.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Algeciras - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
27.08.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.08.22	Valladolid B - Rayo Majadahonda	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.09.22	Ceuta - Celta de Vigo B	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	Fuenlabrada - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Leonesa - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	San Fernando - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.22	Utrera - Ceuta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

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