Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Lugo

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.38
	2.85	2.95	2.3
	3	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.11	3	2.48
	3.11	2.98	2.46
	3.04	3.04	2.36
	2.95	3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.25)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	2.38 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
30.8%

Draw
30.6%

Lugo
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30.7%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

29.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Majadahonda's form might have worsened.

Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Ceballos D. 4. Suarez P. 3. Casado J. 23. Camacho S. 6. Arnedo A. 18. Tavares R. 19. Fernandez A. 14. Claverias A. 28. Adeniyi M. 7. Enri R.	1. Diaz L. (G) 12. Louis-Jean J. 4. Perez G. 14. Morgado C. 3. Vazquez J. 18. Jozabed 20. Ojeda T. 15. Narro V. 11. Antonin 9. Quintana Nacho 7. Ledesma L.
Substitutes
20. Carrion A. 9. Cortes J. 22. Esteban H. 15. Hermoso K. 8. Juanjo 16. Nakai T. 21. Reguera F. 17. Ro 11. Rubi 13. Sarr C. (G)	21. Abdulai S. 8. Aguza S. 23. Antonetti L. 10. Aranda A. 5. Bernardo 6. Castrin A. 19. Fuentes A. 27. Gonzalez J. 13. Tabuaco G. (G) 17. Torrado C.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Lugo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.10.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Sabadell	3:1 ✺
08.10.23	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
30.09.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Teruel	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	SD Logroñés - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WLTWT
- CD Lugo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.10.23	Lugo - SD Logroñés	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Osasuna B - Lugo	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Lugo - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
23.09.23	Real Sociedad B - Lugo	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.19	Lugo - Rayo Majadahonda	3:2
10.09.18	Rayo Majadahonda - Lugo	1:0

Upcoming Matches