Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 38

Date: 27 May 2023, Saturday


	Rayo Majadahonda		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	1.93	3.2	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.35
	2.15	3.23	3.53
	2.06	3.18	3.64
	2.01	3.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.87)	3.15 ↓ (3.3)	3.48 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
44.6%

Draw
29%

Mérida AD
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

28.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Rayo Majadahonda - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia L. (G) 4. Ofoli F. 20. Lopez P. S. 3. Casado J. (C) 19. Rodriguez I. 22. Garcia N. 8. Garcia M. 5. De Iriondo M. 10. Albiach N. 18. Rubi 7. Rodriguez D.	13. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 4. Bonaque M. 18. Nacho Gonzalez 20. Ramon A. 9. Copete N. 11. Melendez A. 22. Lorenzo Guerrero D. 7. Sandoval D. 23. Rodriguez D. 12. Chuma
Substitutes
34. Adeniyi M. 2. Aldalur A. 21. Alhassane A. R. B. 40. Cortes J. 6. Hernandez H. 23. Llamas S. 32. Mestanza A. 1. Moreno D. (G) 16. Ozkoidi J. 15. Pinillos D. 12. Zozulya R.	15. Cinta C. 6. Kamal M. 8. Larrubia D. 10. Lolo 1. Montoya J. (G) 16. Mukai A. 21. Ndongo N. 2. Parras D. 5. Ruiz E. 17. Vinuela F.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Rayo Majadahonda will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Linense - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Rayo Majadahonda - San Sebastian Reyes	2:2 ✺
07.05.23	San Fernando - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Alcorcón - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTLW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.05.23	Mérida AD - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
14.05.23	Alcorcón - Mérida AD	0:0 ✺
06.05.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	2:1 ✺
29.04.23	Algeciras - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Mérida AD - Leonesa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.12.22	Mérida AD - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.04.21	Mérida AD - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1
03.04.21	Rayo Majadahonda - Mérida AD	2:1

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