Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sestao		Celta de Vigo B

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.55	3	2.45
	2.7	3.15	2.55
	2.69	3.15	2.62
	2.67	3.07	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3	2.6
	2.64	3.13	2.56
	2.7	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.53)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.55 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
34.4%

Draw
29.6%

Celta de Vigo B
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.7%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.9%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Celta de Vigo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sestao - Celta de Vigo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 23. Efremov A. 21. Miranda A. 12. Barandalla M. 7. Planas A. 6. Gomez A. 8. Garai G. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 11. Etxaniz J.	1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 21. Fernandez M. 5. Lago Y. 4. Alonso G. 29. Gavian P. 14. Burcio H. 30. Marcos O. 23. Garriel I. 31. Arcos A. 3. Tincho 11. Guedes J.
Substitutes
9. Aznar D. 3. Cordero C. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 28. Otxandiano J.	15. Antanon A. 34. Barreiros I. 28. Conde M. 36. Crespo Y. 7. Diez S. 25. Fernandez C. G. (G) 6. Meixus P. 38. Noya D. 17. Somuah B. 2. Vicente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Gomez A. 🟨,
21', Lago Y. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Cordoba A. ⚽,
40', Efremov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marcos O. ↓, Conde M. ↑,
61', Fernandez M. ↓, Diez S. ↑,
61', Garriel I. ↓, Barreiros I. ↑,
64', Planas A. ↓, Martinez Ortiz L. ↑,
71', Arcos A. ↓, Crespo Y. ↑,
81', Bustillo M. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
81', Etxaniz J. ↓, Aznar D. ↑,
88', 2 - 0, Garcia S. ⚽,
90+2', Miranda A. ↓, Cordero C. ↑,
90+2', Cordoba A. ↓, Martin M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Recent matches Sestao is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Celta de Vigo B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestao won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Ourense CF - Sestao	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Sestao - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Amorebieta - Sestao	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Sestao - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLT
- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Celta de Vigo B - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
08.12.24	Barcelona B - Celta de Vigo B	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Celta de Vigo B - Zamora	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Celta de Vigo B	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Tarazona - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.02.24	Celta de Vigo B - Sestao	4:0
05.11.23	Sestao - Celta de Vigo B	1:0

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