Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)


	Rayo Majadahonda		Unión Adarve

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3
	1.8	3.25	3.8
	2.17	3.15	3.1
	2.25	3.18	3.05
	2.29	3.08	3.11
	2.17	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.43)	3.19 ↓ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Majadahonda
42.4%

Draw
29.1%

Unión Adarve
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

25.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Majadahonda's form might have worsened.

Unión Adarve has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unión Adarve's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Adarve than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Adarve, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Unión Adarve (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Unión Adarve (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Adarve (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Lopez I. 🟥,
90+6', Nanclares S. 🟥,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rayo Majadahonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Majadahonda is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Majadahonda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Rayo Majadahonda
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.04.25	San Sebastian Reyes - Rayo Majadahonda	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Cacereño	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Talavera de la Reina - Rayo Majadahonda	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Rayo Majadahonda - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Melilla - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWTT
- AD Unión Adarve
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.04.25	Unión Adarve - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Real Madrid C - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Unión Adarve - Tenerife B	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Unión Adarve - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Cacereño - Unión Adarve	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
01.12.24	Unión Adarve - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.03.18	Unión Adarve - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0
29.10.17	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve	3:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.08.17	Rayo Majadahonda - Unión Adarve	0:1

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