Match Info

Date: 26 April 2021, Monday


	Rayo Vallecano		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.4	7.5	Watch
	1.57	3.5	6.75
	1.6	3.55	6.25	Watch
	1.56	3.65	6.2
	1.61	3.74	7
	1.53	3.6	7	Watch
	1.6	3.68	6.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	6.75 ↑ (6.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
59.8%

Draw
26.3%

Albacete Balompié
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

26.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

21.6%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.5%	10%	7.5%

Rayo Vallecano - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: Rayo Vallecano will win (33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Rayo Vallecano has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (81%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Albacete has a good chance of relegated (95%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Albacete is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albacete could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.21	UD Logroñés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
14.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
10.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Girona	2:1 ✺
02.04.21	Almería - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
30.03.21	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWWL
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.21	Albacete Balompié - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
11.04.21	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	2:0 ✺
04.04.21	Albacete Balompié - Espanyol	0:3 ✺
31.03.21	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:1 ✺
28.03.21	Girona - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.20	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	2:1
10.06.20	Rayo Vallecano - Albacete Balompié	1:0
29.02.20	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
07.04.18	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
04.11.17	Rayo Vallecano - Albacete Balompié	1:1
Club Friendly
25.07.15	Albacete Balompié - Rayo Vallecano	5:0

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