Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Rayo Vallecano		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75	Watch
	1.7	3.3	5.5
	1.7	3.35	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5.6
	1.71	3.54	6.08
	1.85	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.34	6.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.79)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	5.64 ↑ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano
55%

Draw
28.3%

Málaga
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

29.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

17%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rayo Vallecano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	16%	24%

Rayo Vallecano - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Málaga will win (votes: 6 - 24%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Rayo Vallecano has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (30%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Málaga has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (24%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Rayo Vallecano is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Rayo Vallecano won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
27.09.20	Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
19.09.20	Rayo Vallecano - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
28.08.20	Rayo Vallecano - Eibar	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWL
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.09.20	Málaga - Alcorcón	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Castellón - Málaga	0:1 ✺
13.09.20	Tenerife - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Málaga - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
02.09.20	Espanyol - Málaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.07.20	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	0:0
17.09.19	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
20.04.16	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
13.12.15	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	1:2
21.03.15	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	1:0
26.10.14	Málaga - Rayo Vallecano	4:0
08.02.14	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	4:1

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