Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	Reading		Arsenal U21

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	4.2
	1.55	4.5	4.75	Watch
	1.98	4.38	2.84
	2.15	4.03	2.7
	1.5	4.4	4.5
	2	4.05	2.99
	1.55	4.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.87)	4.31 ↑ (3.9)	3.77 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
53.4%

Draw
21.7%

Arsenal U21
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

23.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

23.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	0%	41.7%

Reading - Arsenal U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Arsenal U21 will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pereira J. (G) 47. Carson M. 6. Dean H. 3. Holmes T. (C) 12. Mukairu P. 36. Craig M. 27. Mbengue A. S. 18. Guinness-Walker N. 15. Ehibhatiomhan K. 19. Wareham J. 42. Vickers C.	48. Ejeheri O. (G) 76. Walters R. 50. Foran T. 61. Monlouis Z. (C) 79. Heaven A. 24. Nelson R. 53. Henry-Francis J. 21. Vieira F. 55. Ibrahim B. 71. Sagoe Jr C. 47. Edwards K.
Substitutes
59. Ahmed A. 1. Button D. (G) 7. Knibbs H. 2. Mola C. 10. Smith S. 58. Wellens C. 29. Wing L.	39. Azeez M. 84. Ferdinand S. 51. Gower J. 54. Hillson J. (G) 87. Kacurri M. 66. M'hand I. 89. Nichols J.
Coaches
Selles R.	Ali M.

Preview

Reading is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arsenal U21 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Reading could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Reading have a series of home games.

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
11.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Reading	3:2 ✺
07.11.23	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Reading - Milton Keynes Dons	3:2 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Reading - Portsmouth	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Reading - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWLL
- Arsenal U21
English Premier League 2
03.11.23	Arsenal U21 - Manchester City U21	3:3 ✺
29.10.23	Arsenal U21 - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	6:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Exeter City - Arsenal U21	0:5 ✺
English Premier League 2
29.09.23	Everton U21 - Arsenal U21	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Manchester United U21 - Arsenal U21	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW

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