Match Info

League One - Round 38

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Shrewsbury Town		Reading

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.05	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.5	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.52	3.26	2.11	Watch
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.52	3.32	2.14	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.63)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	2.08 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
26.5%

Draw
28.3%

Reading
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.4%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

26.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reading's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reading, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Shrewsbury Town - Reading Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Reading will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 65.7% – 97.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Reading (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Blackman J. (G) 5. Feeney M. 16. Pierre A. 6. Feeney J. 2. Hoole L. 12. Ojo F. 17. Gilliead A. 14. Perry T. 23. Nurse G. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)	22. Pereira J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. (C) 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 7. Knibbs H. 29. Wing L. 8. Savage C. 20. Campbell C. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 28. Camara M.
Substitutes
3. Benning M. 15. Gape D. 22. Nsiala A. 26. Shipley J. 24. Stewart C. 7. Wheeler D. 13. Young J. (G)	2. Abrefa K. 10. Bodin B. 1. Button D. (G) 11. Carroll T. 14. Rushesha T. 38. Stickland M. 19. Wareham J.
Coaches
Appleton M.	Hunt N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Bindon T. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
39', Camara M. 🟨,
44', Savage C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Camara M. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
46', Garcia A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Perry T. ⚽, Feeney J. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
57', Pierre A. 🟨,
68', Hoole L. ↓, Wheeler D. ↑,
69', Nurse G. ↓, Benning M. ↑,
69', Ojo F. ↓, Gape D. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Campbell C. ⚽, Wing L. (A),
74', Perry T. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
78', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
88', Knibbs H. ↓, Carroll T. ↑,
88', Lloyd G. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
90', Savage C. ↓, Rushesha T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).

Shrewsbury has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Reading is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Reading have a series of home games.

Reading will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Castledine L. (Back Injury)

There will not play in Reading: Craig M. (Injury) Dean H. (Hip Injury) Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury) Elliott B. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Oliver V. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:5 (average 2.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
05.04.25	Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United	0:1 ✺
01.04.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Exeter City - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLL
- Reading
English League One
05.04.25	Reading - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
01.04.25	Blackpool - Reading	3:0 ✺
29.03.25	Reading - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
15.03.25	Reading - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
11.03.25	Reading - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
11.02.25	Reading - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
24.02.24	Reading - Shrewsbury Town	2:3
11.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Reading	3:2

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