Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Reading		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.8	4
	1.75	4	4.33	Watch
	1.79	3.99	4.29
	1.78	3.84	4.13	Watch
	1.8	3.8	4.33
	1.78	3.98	4.19	Watch
	1.75	4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.75)	3.9 ↑ (3.88)	4.24 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
53.5%

Draw
24.2%

Bristol Rovers
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

23.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Reading - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pereira J. (G) 5. Craig M. 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 30. Garcia A. 4. Elliott B. 29. Wing L. (C) 7. Knibbs H. 28. Camara M. 10. Smith S. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.	1. Griffiths J. (G) 4. Moore T. 17. Taylor C. 5. Wilson J. 6. Mola C. 8. Ward G. 22. Conteh K. 28. Forde S. 10. Sotiriou R. 7. Sinclair S. (C) 9. Omochere P.
Substitutes
39. Ahmed A. 37. Akande A. 1. Button D. (G) 20. Campbell C. 34. Holzman L. 8. Savage C. 19. Wareham J.	27. Bilongo B. 25. Forbes M. 32. Hunt J. 19. Hutchinson I. 29. Lindsay J. 23. McCormick L. 11. Thomas L.
Coaches
Selles R.	Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Omochere P. 🟨,
32', Forde S. 🟨,
43', Omochere P. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Forde S. 🟥,
60', Sotiriou R. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
64', Camara M. ↓, Campbell C. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Smith S. ⚽, Elliott B. (A),
67', Ward G. ↓, Lindsay J. ↑,
67', Sinclair S. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
74', Elliott B. ↓, Savage C. ↑,
74', Bindon T. 🟨,
89', Hunt J. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', Moore T. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).

Reading is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Reading to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Last Results with these Odds

Bristol Rovers - the odds 4.39 are the expected chance of winning is 21.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
22.10.24	Exeter City - Reading	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	Reading - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
05.10.24	Rotherham United - Reading	2:1 ✺
01.10.24	Reading - Burton Albion	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Reading - Huddersfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLWW
- Bristol Rovers
English League One
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Burton Albion - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
01.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Charlton Athletic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.04.24	Bristol Rovers - Reading	0:2
07.11.23	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:1

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