The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 53.9%
Draw 22.3%
Milton Keynes Dons 23.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
25%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
24.7%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.
Milton Keynes Dons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Milton Keynes Dons might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.4%
4.5%
9.1%
Reading - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Reading (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Reading will win
(19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.02% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
25. Stevens J. (G) 17. Yiadom A. (C) 46. Borgnis J. 22. Stickland M. 36. Ryan J. 14. Rushesha T. 47. Spencer S. 32. Lane P. 4. Elliott B. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 43. Okine-Peters J.
1. Trueman C. (G) 34. Tripp C. 4. Thompson N. 40. Domi R. 48. Guzynski M. 20. Thompson-Sommers K. 38. Lewis-Burgess K. 47. Troso S. 44. Singh-Hurditt D. 17. Leko J. 49. Medwynter C.
Substitutes
39. Ahmed A. 5. Duah P. 55. Evans R. 11. Kyerewaa D. 57. Patton S. 1. Rowley M. (G) 44. Sackey T.
46. Burke J. 52. Favier L. 33. Finch T. (G) 43. Fry D. 55. Nash B. 41. Sandford R. (G) 42. Silver R.
Coaches
Hunt N.
Warne P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Spencer S. 🟨,
32', Lane P. 🟨,
38', Lewis-Burgess K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yiadom A. ↓, Ahmed A. ↑,
46', Lane P. ↓, Kyerewaa D. ↑,
62', Singh-Hurditt D. ↓, Silver R. ↑,
62', Thompson N. ↓, Burke J. ↑,
71', Troso S. 🟨,
74', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
77', Domi R. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
85', Spencer S. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
85', Rushesha T. ↓, Sackey T. ↑,
86', Medwynter C. ↓, Favier L. ↑,
86', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Nash B. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Patton S. ⚽, Borgnis J. (A),
90+3', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Duah P. ↑,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Reading could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Reading - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Stevens J. (G) 
Yiadom A. (C) 
Ryan J. 
Rushesha T. 
Lane P. 
Elliott B. 
Tripp C. 
Domi R. 
Kyerewaa D. 
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