Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 3

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Reading		Cheltenham Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75
	1.77	3.6	4.4
	1.8	3.6	4.6
	1.84	3.55	4.74
	1.75	3.3	4
	1.8	3.64	4.4	Watch
	1.8	3.55	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.9)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	4.46 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
52.3%

Draw
26.6%

Cheltenham Town
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

27.1%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cheltenham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheltenham Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Reading - Cheltenham Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Button D. (G) 27. Mbengue A. S. 24. Bindon T. 32. Abbey N. (C) 47. Carson M. 28. Camara M. 29. Wing L. 8. Savage C. 7. Knibbs H. 15. Ehibhatiomhan K. 42. Vickers C.	1. Southwood L. (G) 2. Long S. (C) 33. Davies C. 6. Freestone L. 22. Smith L. 8. Sercombe L. 18. Chapman E. 7. Hammond O. 15. Ferry W. 11. Street R. 10. Keena A.
Substitutes
11. Azeez F. 31. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 6. Dean H. 23. Hutchinson S. 5. McIntyre T. 48. Tuma B. 17. Yiadom A.	16. Adshead D. 4. Bradbury T. 9. Goodwin W. 20. Harris M. (G) 28. Sambu A. 14. Thompson C. 3. Williams B.
Coaches
Selles R.	Elliott W.

Preview

Reading is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cheltenham has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Cheltenham have a series of home games.

In this match Reading is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
12.08.23	Port Vale - Reading	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Millwall - Reading	0:4 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Reading - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Reading - Swansea City	0:4 ✺
22.07.23	Reading - Southampton	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLLL
- Cheltenham Town
English League One
12.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Bolton Wanderers	0:3 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Cheltenham Town - Birmingham City	0:2 ✺
English League One
05.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.23	Cheltenham Town - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Cheltenham Town - Birmingham City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

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