The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 33.5%
Draw 28.4%
Reading 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
28.3%
36.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
28.8%
35.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
18.7%
68.7%
Port Vale - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Reading will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 46.1% – 91.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reading will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 24. Kyle John (C) 25. Humphreys C. 5. Hall C. 27. Campbell E. 14. Ojo F. 33. Hall G. 26. Shipley J. 11. Archer E. 45. Gray A. 19. Waine B.
1. Pereira J. (G) 24. Nyambe R. 15. O'Connor P. 33. Williams D. 16. Ward B. 6. Fraser L. 10. Wing L. (C) 29. Doyle K. 8. Savage C. 19. Young K. 7. Marriott J.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 15. Gordon L. 4. Heneghan B. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 21. Sherif M. 9. Stockley J. 28. Ward G.
12. Burns F. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K. 32. Lane P. 25. Stevens J. (G) 21. Williams R. 17. Yiadom A.
Coaches
Brady J.
Richardson L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Wing L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ward B. 🟨,
61', Waine B. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
62', Gray A. ↓, Sherif M. ↑,
62', Shipley J. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
62', Campbell E. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
67', Ward B. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,
73', Doyle K. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
73', Young K. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
80', Dorsett A. J. R. 🟨,
85', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
85', Williams D. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
89', Kyle John ↓, Heneghan B. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Sherif M. ⚽, Archer E. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Port Vale is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Reading is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Port Vale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
O'Mahony M.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
Williams R.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Byers G.
(Injury)
Garrity B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Reading: Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
Including home match between the teams, Port Vale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Outrights of English League One for now
Reading: 6.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Reading
9
4
3
2
22:11
11
15
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.59%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Gauci J. (G) 
Kyle John (C) 
Ojo F. 
Shipley J. 
Gray A. 
Waine B. 
Pereira J. (G) 
Nyambe R. 
Fraser L. 
Savage C. 
Gordon L. 
Sherif M. 
Dorsett A. J. R. 
Lane P. 
Yiadom A. 
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