Match Info

League One - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Edgeley Park (Stockport)

Referee: Smith J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stockport County		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.55	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.73
	2.19	3.2	3.39	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.1	3.2	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.02)	3.22 ↓ (3.42)	3.53 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stockport County
44.5%

Draw
29%

Stevenage Borough
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stockport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	9.1%	27.3%

Stockport County - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Stockport will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Stevenage (2.03) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Stevenage (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Stevenage (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Stevenage (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Stevenage (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Addai C. (G) 2. Dacres-Cogley J. 19. Wootton K. 15. Pye E. 14. Edun T. 26. Norwood O. (C) 27. Bailey O. 20. Barry L. 28. Stokes J. 23. Osborn B. 29. Sidibeh A.	1. Marschall F. (G) 17. Pattenden J. 15. Goode C. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 14. Earley S. 25. Phillips M. 4. Houghton J. 10. Kemp D. 11. Roberts J. 8. Phillips D. 19. Reid J.
Substitutes
22. Andresson B. 7. Diamond J. 12. Dixon R. 18. Fiorini L. 1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 11. Mothersille M. 9. Olaofe T.	13. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 2. James-Wildin L. 30. Lubala B. 44. Patterson P. 6. Sweeney D. 23. Thompson L. 18. White H.
Coaches
Challinor D.	Revell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Barry L. ⚽, Osborn B. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Wootton K. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
41', Goode C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sidibeh A. ↓, Olaofe T. ↑,
62', Pattenden J. ↓, James-Wildin L. ↑,
62', Houghton J. ↓, White H. ↑,
63', Phillips D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
63', Roberts J. ↓, Patterson P. ↑,
67', Kemp D. 🟨,
68', Norwood O. 🟨,
69', Barry L. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
80', Stokes J. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
80', Osborn B. ↓, Fiorini L. ↑,
80', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
88', Bailey O. ↓, Andresson B. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Stevenage has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stockport is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Stockport: Camps C. (Inactive) Connolly C. (Injury) Hills B. (Knee Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Onyango T. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Olowu J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Stevenage: Freestone L. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Stockport won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Stockport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 23.3% Stevenage: 1.24%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Stockport County	9	5	1	3	20:11	9	16
9	Stevenage	8	3	3	2	12:8	4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Stevenage Borough - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.4%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stockport County
English League One
09.05.26	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Barnsley - Stockport County	1:3 ✺
28.04.26	Stockport County - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Stockport County - Peterborough United	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	Stockport County - Mansfield Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLWL
- Stevenage Borough
English League One
09.05.26	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Doncaster Rovers - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
21.04.26	Stevenage Borough - Barnsley	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Stevenage Borough - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
09.05.26	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	0:1
28.02.26	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	2:1
13.12.25	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	1:3
01.04.25	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	3:0
14.12.24	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	2:1
English League Two
18.02.23	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	2:0
06.08.22	Stevenage Borough - Stockport County	2:1

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