Match Info

League One - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Northampton Town		Stockport County

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.81	Watch
	3.5	3.3	2
	3.95	3.45	1.88	Watch
	3.76	3.42	1.98	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.91
	3.99	3.38	1.92	Watch
	4	3.6	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.77)	3.41 ↑ (3.38)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
24%

Draw
27.3%

Stockport County
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

27.2%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

27.8%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Stockport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stockport County than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	5.6%	66.7%

Northampton Town - Stockport County Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Stockport will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stockport: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stockport (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - draw (3.96) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 6. Willis J. (C) 35. Dyche M. 21. Perkins J. 22. Edwards K. 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 12. Guinness-Walker N. 11. Swyer K. 9. Eaves T. 10. List E.	1. Hinchliffe B. (G) 33. Hills B. 5. Olowu J. 15. Pye E. 2. O'Keeffe C. 26. Norwood O. (C) 21. Moxon O. 3. Dodgson O. 27. Bailey O. 7. Diamond J. 19. Wootton K.
Substitutes
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 5. Guthrie J. 7. Hoskins S. 17. Jacobs M. 27. Vale J. 16. Wormleighton J.	34. Addai C. (G) 14. Edun T. 10. Fevrier J. 48. Gardner C. 31. Hunt J. 11. Mothersille M. 23. Osborn B.
Coaches
Nolan K.	Challinor D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Pye E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dodgson O. ↓, Osborn B. ↑,
46', O'Keeffe C. ↓, Fevrier J. ↑,
46', Moxon O. ↓, Mothersille M. ↑,
46', Olowu J. ↓, Hunt J. ↑,
53', Fevrier J. 🟨,
61', Willis J. ↓, Guthrie J. ↑,
66', List E. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
70', Bailey O. ↓, Edun T. ↑,
77', Swyer K. ↓, Wormleighton J. ↑,
78', Edwards K. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
78', Eaves T. ↓, Vale J. ↑,
81', Taylor T. 🟨,
90', Norwood O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stockport's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stockport could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Northampton: Fornah T. (Inactive) Vale J. (Injury)

There will not play in Stockport: Bate L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Northampton: McCarthy C. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Stockport: Connolly C. (Injury) Hoskonen A. (Muscle Injury) Onyango T. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of English League One for now

Stockport County: 11.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Stockport County	8	4	1	3	17:10	7	13

Last Results with these Odds

Stockport County - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 48.51%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
29.12.25	Huddersfield Town - Northampton Town	2:0 ✺
26.12.25	Burton Albion - Northampton Town	5:1 ✺
19.12.25	Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon	3:1 ✺
13.12.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Northampton Town - Huddersfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT
- Stockport County
English League One
29.12.25	Stockport County - Doncaster Rovers	4:2 ✺
26.12.25	Stockport County - Lincoln City	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Mansfield Town - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Stockport County - Stevenage Borough	1:3 ✺
09.12.25	Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.03.25	Northampton Town - Stockport County	1:1
22.10.24	Stockport County - Northampton Town	1:1
English League Two
14.01.23	Stockport County - Northampton Town	2:0
24.09.22	Northampton Town - Stockport County	2:1

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