Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 18

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Real Ávila		Becerril

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.37	4.06	7.36
	1.34	4.3	8.4
	1.36	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.24 ↑ (4)	7.65 ↑ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Ávila
66.8%

Draw
21.3%

Becerril
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

22.8%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

21.1%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Ávila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Becerril has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Ávila than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Becerril than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 7).

Real Ávila in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Becerril is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Becerril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real Ávila is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Ávila to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Ávila won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Ávila won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Ávila
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.01.24	Real Ávila - Mirandés B	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	La Virgen del Camino - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
07.01.24	Real Ávila - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Ponferradina B - Real Ávila	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Real Ávila - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWT
- CD Becerril
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
21.01.24	Bembibre - Becerril	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Becerril - Laguna de Tenerife	1:0 ✺
07.01.24	Palencia CA - Becerril	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Mirandés B - Becerril	2:2 ✺
03.12.23	Becerril - La Virgen del Camino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.09.23	Becerril - Real Ávila	1:0
06.04.23	Real Ávila - Becerril	1:1
11.12.22	Becerril - Real Ávila	0:3
26.01.20	Becerril - Real Ávila	1:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
08.10.17	Real Ávila - Becerril	2:1

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