The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors de Cali 19.2%
Draw 27%
Real Cartagena 53.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
28.5%
46.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.6%
27.3%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Juniors de Cali's form might have worsened.
Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
14.3%
57.1%
Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Real Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Obando E. (G) 5. Angulo Perlaza H. 11. Beitar D. 9. Caicedo J. 7. Cuero J. 35. Hurtado K. 23. Marin J. 20. Moran Y. 18. Mosquera H. 26. Ortiz H. 21. Urrutia P.
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 7. Barrera J. 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 30. Herrera J. 23. Lora R. 10. Montero F. (C) 14. Pino D. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
31. Diaz D. 1. Hoyos S. (G) 27. Hurtado S. 2. Montano J. 13. Nagles F. 15. Urresti J. 8. Vallejo J. 25. Vasco J. 19. Yepes C.
15. Florez C. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 9. Manotas M. 20. Nieva J. 28. Paternina C. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 11. Yanes L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Montero F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marin J. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
59', Guevara L. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
59', Lora R. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
70', Cuero J. ↓, Yepes C. ↑,
70', Herrera J. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Yepes C. ⚽,
80', Pino D. ↓, Nieva J. ↑,
80', Aleman J. ↓, Yanes L. ↑,
80', Caicedo J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
82', Yanes L. 🟨,
89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
90+1', Montero F. 🟨,
90+1', Vallejo J. 🟨,
90+3', Angulo Perlaza H. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 0.
Boca Juniors has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Cartagena is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Real Cartagena is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
Colombia
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Watch
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Obando E. (G) 
Marin J. 
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