Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 3

Date: 2 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports


	Real Cartagena		Jaguares de Córdoba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	2.3	3.25	3	Watch
	2.4	3.16	3.01
	2.37	3.16	3.06	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	2.34	3.14	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.9)	3.24 ↓ (3.36)	3.23 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
42.4%

Draw
28.8%

Jaguares de Córdoba
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

27.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

28.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Jaguares de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaguares de Córdoba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaguares de Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Real Cartagena - Jaguares de Córdoba Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Real Cartagena will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Mosquera C. (G) 7. De La Rosa W. 17. Marrugo C. 14. Martinez E. 4. Montanez A. 10. Montero F. 28. Paternina C. 13. Ramirez J. 93. Rodriguez A. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A.	1. Figueroa J. (G) 30. Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 6. Escobar A. 60. Lenis K. 23. Lora R. 15. Maza J. 4. Mosquera Y. 14. Pino D. 11. Renteria A. 25. Roa J. 17. Viveros J.
Substitutes
2. Barrios D. 22. Fontalvo R. (G) 24. Mendoza J. 29. Murillo M. 11. Pereira I. 27. Salcedo J. 6. Torres Y.	20. Andrade J. 12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 24. Ceter D. 7. Herrera J. 5. Lovera J. 26. Padilla D. 10. Rodriguez Urango D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
11', Escobar A. 🟨,
22', Herrera J. 🟥,
25', De La Rosa W. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Escobar A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
53', 2 - 1, Ramirez J. ⚽,
63', Ramirez J. 🟨,
64', Escobar A. ↓, Rodriguez Urango D. ↑,
64', Viveros J. ↓, Ceter D. ↑,
64', Pino D. ↓, Padilla D. ↑,
66', Ramirez J. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Renteria A. ⚽,
72', Rodriguez J. ↓, Torres Y. ↑,
72', Paternina C. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
76', 2 - 3, Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. ⚽,
77', Altamiranda Arrieta J. A. 🟨,
79', Torres Y. 🟨,
82', Rodriguez A. ↓, Pereira I. ↑,
82', Renteria A. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, De La Rosa W. ⚽,
90', 3 - 4, Andrade J. (Pen),
90+2', Lenis K. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Real Cartagena is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Real Cartagena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
29.05.25	Real Cartagena - Tigres	3:0 ✺
26.05.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Real Cartagena - Deportes Quindío	4:1 ✺
11.05.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTW
- Jaguares de Córdoba
Colombian Primera B
29.05.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Internacional de Palmira	2:1 ✺
26.05.25	Tigres - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Jaguares de Córdoba - Patriotas	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Leones - Jaguares de Córdoba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
20.04.25	Real Cartagena - Jaguares de Córdoba	2:3

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