Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Mosquera (Mosquera)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cundinamarca		Atlético Cali

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.8
	1.55	3.75	5.9	Watch
	1.46	3.85	5.7
	1.54	3.93	6.07	Watch
	1.5	3.4	5.75
	1.49	3.62	6.56	Watch
	1.58	3.35	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	5.65 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cundinamarca
58.9%

Draw
25%

Atlético Cali
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Valencia M. (G) 20. Acosta O. 27. Amaya J. 5. Cabezas E. 19. Cortes J. 17. Cuellar K. 8. Gomez C. 3. Moreno S. 7. Salcedo J. 2. Suaza J. (C) 23. Vidal K.	12. Agudelo D. (C) 3. Alomia J. 6. Balanta E. 10. Eraso G. 23. Hormaza E. 14. Landazuri L. 9. Onate A. 21. Renteria J. 8. Restrepo C. 15. Veira J. 2. Villa F.
Substitutes
21. Alba J. 30. Cuero Fabian 40. Giraldo J. (G) 6. Hoyos J. 24. Mendoza J. 29. Montano L. 18. Obregon L. 14. Zavala K.	7. Farias J. 1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 5. Julio J. 17. Riascos L. 13. Royero R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Acosta O. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Onate A. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
75', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+9', 🟨,
90+10', 1 - 2, Farias J. ⚽,

Preview

Real Cundinamarca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlético Cali has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Atlético Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real Cundinamarca is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cundinamarca won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cundinamarca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Real Cundinamarca	11	7	2	2	19:10	9	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
21.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
16.03.26	Deportes Quindío - Real Cundinamarca	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTTL
- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
16.03.26	Tigres - Atlético Cali	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Cali - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Atlético Cali - Leones	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Bogotá - Atlético Cali	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Atlético Cali - Patriotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
19.08.25	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	2:3
11.03.25	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	5:2
26.08.24	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:0
12.03.24	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Cali	1:0
28.08.23	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:2

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