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Current Win Probability
Real España 52.5%
Draw 25.5%
Cartagines 22.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.9%
27.9%
26.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.3%
26.5%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real España's performance.
Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real España than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.8%
23.5%
17.6%
Real España - Cartagines Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Real España will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Cartagines will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Real España: 35.4% – 82.2%.
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Preview
1st leg.
Real España is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Cartagines is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Cartagines could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.