The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real España 45.6%
Draw 27.5%
Platense 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.7%
24.1%
18.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
23%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real España's form might have worsened.
Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Platense's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real España, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Platense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Real España - Platense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lopez L. (G)
19. Aparicio D.
5. Flores F.
6. Garcia D.
11. Hernandez E.
14. Jean-Baptiste J.
21. Palacios D.
58. Palacios Y.
7. Ritacco G.
20. Romero C.
18. Vuelto D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Sayago D. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Vuelto D. ⚽,
41', Solano E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Urbina E. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
46', Flores R. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
46', Espinoza S. ↓, Welcome G. ↑,
63', Sayago D. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
71', Romero C. ↓, Cruz N. ↑,
71', Vuelto D. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
73', Cruz N. 🟨,
82', Solano E. ↓, Arriola Y. ↑,
87', Reyes M. ↓, Carter D. ↑,
90+3', Palacios Y. ↓, Pike C. ↑,
90+3', Arzu E. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 7).
Real España is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real España won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real España is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real España won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 35:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real España won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Real Espana
8
5
3
0
13:4
9
18
12
Platense
8
1
2
5
6:18
-12
5
Last Results with these Odds
Real España - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 57.67%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.
Honduras
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Lopez L. (G) 
Aparicio D. 
Ritacco G. 
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