Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com


	Real España		Real Sociedad Tocoa

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.34	4.4	8
	1.34	4.3	9.63
	1.36	4.29	10.32	Watch
	1.33	4	11
	1.3	4.25	10.7	Watch
	1.34	4.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)	4.22 ↑ (4.09)	9.09 ↑ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Network on TV: FOX Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Real España
68.1%

Draw
21.8%

Real Sociedad Tocoa
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

22.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

21.4%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real España has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Real Sociedad Tocoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
65. Rodriguez O. (G) 4. Alvarado E. 5. Flores F. 6. Garcia D. 10. Benavidez J. (C) 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 20. Romero C. 36. Osorto R. 28. Mejia C. 13. Moya B. 16. Moreno Y.	1. Roa A. (G) 34. Ramos J. 22. Gonzalez O. 16. Jones A. 32. Monico D. 6. Martinez A. N. 15. Dominguez J. 2. Martinez D. 9. Martinez G. 11. Martinez R. 28. Asprilla L.
Substitutes
11. Benitez B. 39. Cacho D. 22. Lopez L. (G) 17. Martinez G. 29. Mejia G. 56. Mencia Hernandez D. J. 15. Ramirez D. 7. Rotondi M. 44. Tatum Ferrera A. K. 18. Vuelto D. 35. Zavala D.	26. Bernardez R. 23. Delgado E. 19. Diaz S. 10. Dolmo Y. 4. Enamorado N. 13. Felix B. 12. Flores M. 25. Gomez A. 20. Gotay P. 3. Ramirez W. 7. Reyes D. 27. Reyes F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Monico D. ⚽,
23', Martinez A. N. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
23', Monico D. ↓, Delgado E. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Romero C. ⚽,
42', Garcia D. 🟨,
42', Martinez R. 🟨,
44', Ramos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dominguez J. ↓, Dolmo Y. ↑,
46', Asprilla L. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
46', Ramos J. ↓, Bernardez R. ↑,
49', Delgado E. 🟨,
62', Jean-Baptiste J. 🟨,
63', Romero C. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
63', Osorto R. ↓, Rotondi M. ↑,
64', Martinez R. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
85', Flores M. 🟨,
87', Mejia C. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
88', Moreno Y. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real España won 3.

Real España is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Real Sociedad Tocoa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Real España is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real España to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Real España won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31:17 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real España won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:10 (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional
06.03.25	Génesis PN - Real España	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Olancho - Real España	0:3 ✺
26.02.25	Juticalpa - Real España	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Real España - Motagua	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real España - Victoria La Ceiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW
- Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional
06.03.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Motagua	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Juticalpa	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Génesis PN - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
26.01.25	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Real España	0:2
28.09.24	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:2
28.07.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Real España	0:3
28.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Real España	2:1
04.03.24	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:3
08.11.23	Real España - Real Sociedad Tocoa	1:0
13.09.23	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Real España	2:1

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