Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Caliente TV, Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Real Estelí		Hércules

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.39	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.18	6.38
	1.15	8.18	12.01	Watch
	1.41	4.05	6.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)	5.15 ↑ (4.3)	7.97 ↑ (7.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
69.8%

Draw
18.3%

Hércules
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

21.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

20.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Real Estelí - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Hernandez B. ⚽, Quijano J. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Aranda H. ⚽, Bonilla B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Bonilla B. ⚽,

Preview

Real Estelí has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hércules has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hércules may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real Estelí is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
CONCACAF Central American Cup
14.08.25	Xelajú - Real Estelí	4:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
10.08.25	Real Estelí - Managua	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Rancho Santana - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real Estelí	3:0 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
26.07.25	Real Estelí - Municipal Jalapa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLW
- CD Hércules
El Salvador Primera Division
16.08.25	Hércules - Alianza San Miguel	2:5 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
12.08.25	Águila - Hércules	2:0 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
10.08.25	Zacatecoluca - Hércules	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
06.08.25	Hércules - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
02.08.25	Municipal Limeño - Hércules	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLL

Real Estelí - Hércules: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide