Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Independencia (Estelí)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Real Estelí		Herediano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.20
	1.90	3.20	3.45
	2.28	3.12	3.12
	1.91	3.33	4.08	Watch
	2.17	3.05	3.10
	2.05	3.42	3.47	Watch
	2.12	3.15	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.87)	3.2 ↓ (3.27)	3.37 ↓ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
44.2%

Draw
28.6%

Herediano
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

27.8%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26.6%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Estelí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Real Estelí - Herediano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Real Estelí will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Herediano will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Faust J. (G) 29. Gutierrez J. 19. Martinez E. J. 24. Calero A. 23. Acevedo O. 8. Aranda H. 11. Barrera J. (C) 6. Colombino A. 28. Blanco R. 7. Bonilla B. 21. Casado E.	1. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 38. Montes G. 21. Rubio E. 16. Araya D. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 8. Cruz A. 22. Murillo A. 26. Juarez E. 97. Leal R. 24. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
13. Baez A. 18. Bello O. 9. Castillo E. 22. Cerda E. (G) 17. Downs K. 4. Fletes M. 10. Medina H. 20. Moses L. 27. Quijano J. 25. Salandia C. (G) 12. Talavera W. 15. Toledo J.	11. Araya R. 25. Bravo E. 37. Fuller K. 32. Hudson A. 31. Lezcano A. (G) 20. Rivera R. 55. Roman Y. 27. Suarez A. 28. Vargas S. 92. Walker A. (G)
Coaches
Vazquez D.	Soto J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Aguilar E. ⚽, Murillo A. (A),
26', Quiros H. 🟨,
30', Montes G. 🟨,
37', Aranda H. 🟨,
44', Aranda H. ↓, Baez A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Quijano J. ↑,
56', Quijano J. 🟨,
60', Casado E. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
60', Acevedo O. ↓, Moses L. ↑,
66', Cruz A. ↓, Fuller K. ↑,
66', Leal R. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Faust J. (Own goal),
76', Barrera J. ↓, Talavera W. ↑,
79', Murillo A. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
79', Quiros H. ↓, Vargas S. ↑,
79', Aguilar E. ↓, Rivera R. ↑,
86', Juarez E. 🟨,

Preview

Real Estelí has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Herediano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Real Estelí will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Real Estelí will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Real Estelí won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
CONCACAF Central American Cup
11.08.26	Real Estelí - Alianza San Miguel	3:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
07.08.26	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
04.08.26	Antigua GFC - Real Estelí	0:2 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.07.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Real Estelí - Matagalpa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW
- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
14.08.26	San Carlos - Herediano	1:0 ✺
09.08.26	Herediano - Alajuelense	0:3 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.26	Alianza San Miguel - Herediano	1:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.08.26	Inter San Carlos - Herediano	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
30.07.26	Herediano - CD Marathón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Central American Cup
31.10.24	Herediano - Real Estelí	2:2
24.10.24	Real Estelí - Herediano	0:0
CONCACAF League
24.11.20	Herediano - Real Estelí	0:1

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