Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Lincoln Financial Field (Philadelphia, PA)

Referee: Beida D. (Mrt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2, Z Sports 3
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Canal 5, DAZN App, DAZN, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1
Usa	DAZN USA, TUDN
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Red Bull Salzburg		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	9.5	7.5	1.25	Watch
	8.75	6	1.3
	10.82	6.72	1.25
				Watch
	9.57	7.56	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.66 ↓ (10.49)	6.95 ↑ (6.08)	1.27 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
10%

Draw
13.9%

Real Madrid
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.1%

15.6%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	28.8%	67.3%

Red Bull Salzburg - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 2 - 4.1%). Real will win (votes: 33 - 67.3%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 54.2% – 80.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 3 - 13%). Real (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Tie (votes: 12 - 52.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Salzburg (2.29) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Real (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Salzburg (7.64) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Salzburg (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 29 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Real (votes: 11 - 37.9%). Tie (votes: 12 - 41.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 22. Lainer S. (C) 23. Gadou J. 2. Rasmussen J. 13. Kratzig F. 45. Nene D. 5. Diabate S. 15. Diambou M. 30. Gloukh O. 20. Baidoo E. 21. Ratkov P.	1. Courtois T. (G) 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 22. Rudiger A. 24. Huijsen D. 20. Garcia F. 14. Tchouameni A. 15. Guler A. 5. Bellingham J. 8. Valverde F. (C) 30. Garcia G. 7. Vinicius Junior
Substitutes
43. Aguilar E. 6. Baidoo S. 28. Daghim A. 92. Hamzic S. (G) 8. Kitano S. 14. Kjaergaard M. 41. Krumrey J. (G) 36. Mellberg J. 9. Onisiwo K. 44. Schuster J. 37. Trummer T. 11. Vertessen Y.	36. Andres C. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 26. Fran (G) 17. Lucas 13. Lunin A. (G) 50. Martin M. 10. Modric L. 44. Munoz V. 31. Ramon J. 11. Rodrygo 29. Yusi
Coaches
Letsch T.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
40', 0 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Valverde F. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Diambou M. ↓, Kjaergaard M. ↑,
46', Ratkov P. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
66', Rudiger A. ↓, Ramon J. ↑,
66', Vinicius Junior ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
66', Guler A. ↓, Modric L. ↑,
73', Diabate S. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
74', Valverde F. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
82', Bellingham J. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Garcia G. ⚽,
89', Baidoo E. ↓, Onisiwo K. ↑,
89', Nene D. ↓, Baidoo S. ↑,

Preview

Salzburg is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Salzburg: Blank H. (Inactive) Blaswich J. (Inactive) Capaldo N. (Toe Injury) Caufriez M. (Inactive) Guindo D. (Inactive) Konate K. (Knee Injury) Morgalla L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Asencio R. (Red Card) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Illness) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Salzburg won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Salzburg
FIFA Club World Cup
22.06.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Al-Hilal	0:0 ✺
18.06.25	Pachuca - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.06.25	Seekirchen - Red Bull Salzburg	Canceled ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
24.05.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Rapid Wien	4:2 ✺
18.05.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TW?WW
- Real Madrid
FIFA Club World Cup
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Real Madrid - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.05.25	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Sevilla - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
14.05.25	Real Madrid - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.01.25	Real Madrid - Red Bull Salzburg	5:1
Club Friendly
07.08.19	Red Bull Salzburg - Real Madrid	0:1

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