Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Real Madrid		Eibar

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.35	5	9
	1.36	5.25	9	Watch
	1.39	4.9	7.4
	1.38	5.33	8.88
	1.35	5	9	Watch
	1.35	5.3	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.32)	5.11 ↓ (5.51)	8.63 ↓ (9.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
70.2%

Draw
18.7%

Eibar
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.8%

17.4%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

81.6%

15.5%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.3%	3%	6.7%

Real Madrid - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (121 of 134 users predict this - 90.3%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.29% – 95.31%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

No spectators.

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Group Stage) and 19 in the zone Relegation to LaLiga2).

Real has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (>99%), has a small chance of win league (12%).

Eibar has a good chance of relegated (62%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Real is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eibar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Real could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real to win the game is with odds 1.36.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Real won 11 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Real won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
20.03.21	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.03.21	Real Madrid - Atalanta	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.03.21	Real Madrid - Elche	2:1 ✺
07.03.21	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
01.03.21	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTT
- SD Eibar
Club Friendly
25.03.21	Osasuna - Eibar	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
20.03.21	Athletic Bilbao - Eibar	1:1 ✺
14.03.21	Eibar - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
06.03.21	Cádiz - Eibar	1:0 ✺
27.02.21	Eibar - Huesca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.12.20	Eibar - Real Madrid	1:3
14.06.20	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:1
09.11.19	Eibar - Real Madrid	0:4
06.04.19	Real Madrid - Eibar	2:1
24.11.18	Eibar - Real Madrid	3:0
10.03.18	Eibar - Real Madrid	1:2
22.10.17	Real Madrid - Eibar	3:0

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