Match Info

LaLiga - Round 28

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN
Azerbaijan	AzTV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Disney+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 22, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Real Madrid		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	9.5	Watch
	1.29	5.9	9.8
	1.3	6.36	9.81
	1.3	6.36	9.78	Watch
	1.25	5.5	9
	1.31	6.32	10.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↑ (1.22)	6.07 ↓ (6.83)	9.77 ↓ (11.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
74.4%

Draw
15.8%

Elche
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

13.9%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Elche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.2%	8.2%	1.6%

Real Madrid - Elche Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Real (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Elche (3.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (54 of 60 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.41% – 97.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Elche (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 2. Carvajal D. (C) 22. Rudiger A. 24. Huijsen D. 20. Garcia F. 8. Valverde F. 45. Pitarch T. 14. Tchouameni A. 6. Camavinga E. 21. Diaz B. 7. Vinicius Junior	1. Dituro M. (C) 42. Buba Sangare 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 21. Petrot L. 11. Valera G. 16. Neto M. 14. Febas A. 5. Redondo Solari F. 24. Cepeda L. 9. Andre Silva
Substitutes
27. Aguado D. 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 16. Garcia G. 15. Guler A. 13. Lunin A. (G) 43. Mestre S. (G) 37. Moran M. A. 38. Palacios C. 42. Yanez D.	8. Aguado M. 6. Bigas P. 19. Diangana G. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 10. Mir R. 3. Pedrosa A. 13. Pena I. (G) 20. Rodriguez A. 7. Santiago Y. 15. Tete Morente 12. Villar G.
Coaches
Arbeloa A.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Buba Sangare ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Rudiger A. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Valverde F. ⚽, Garcia F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', Camavinga E. 🟨,
58', Vinicius Junior ↓, Guler A. ↑,
58', Valverde F. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
58', Tchouameni A. ↓, Yanez D. ↑,
61', Rudiger A. ↓, Aguado D. ↑,
62', Valera G. 🟨,
63', Diaz B. ↓, Moran M. A. ↑,
64', Pitarch T. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
64', Cepeda L. ↓, Mir R. ↑,
64', Redondo Solari F. ↓, Aguado M. ↑,
64', Petrot L. ↓, Josan ↑,
66', Affengruber D. 🟨,
66', 3 - 0, Huijsen D. ⚽, Yanez D. (A),
74', Affengruber D. ↓, Bigas P. ↑,
74', Neto M. ↓, Diangana G. ↑,
85', 3 - 1, Moran M. A. (Own goal),
88', Mir R. 🟨,
89', 4 - 1, Guler A. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.

Real has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elche has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Elche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Calf Injury) Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Carreras A. (Calf Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mastantuono F. (Red Card) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Donald J. (Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:10. (average 2.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 3.2:0.8).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 20.11% Elche: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18:8	10	15
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Real Madrid - Manchester City	3:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Real Madrid - Getafe	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.02.26	Real Madrid - Benfica	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
21.02.26	Osasuna - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Villarreal - Elche	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
20.02.26	Athletic Bilbao - Elche	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Elche - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Real Sociedad - Elche	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.11.25	Elche - Real Madrid	2:2
15.02.23	Real Madrid - Elche	4:0
19.10.22	Elche - Real Madrid	0:3
23.01.22	Real Madrid - Elche	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.01.22	Elche - Real Madrid	1:2 ET
Spanish LaLiga
30.10.21	Elche - Real Madrid	1:2
13.03.21	Real Madrid - Elche	2:1

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