Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Super Cup - Final

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)

Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Supersport Maximo 2A, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	ESPN, Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	SAT1, Sky Sport
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, RTL Club, VTM 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Max Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	MTV 3, MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
France	C+ France
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, SAT 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1, Cosmote Sport 4K, MEGA
Hungary	RTL
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2, Viaplay
Ireland	Premier Sports 1, RTE 2, RTE Player
Italy	Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Malta	TSN Malta 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 1, PrimaPlay
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Zoom, SAT1
Turkey	TRT
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
World	Prima+ app


	Real Madrid		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.75
	1.5	4.6	5.75
	1.51	4.75	6.4
	1.49	4.84	6.3
	1.52	5.13	6.43	Watch
	1.5	4.6	5.8
	1.52	4.93	6.47
	1.51	4.75	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)	4.79 ↑ (4.33)	6.16 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Super Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TUDN, Univision

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
64.2%

Draw
20.2%

Atalanta
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.6%	11.6%	2.7%

Real Madrid - Atalanta Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (122 of 141 users predict this - 86.52%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.88% – 92.16%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 2. Carvajal D. (C) 3. Militao E. 22. Rudiger A. 23. Mendy F. 8. Valverde F. 14. Tchouameni A. 11. Rodrygo 5. Bellingham J. 7. Vinicius Junior 9. Mbappe K.	1. Musso J. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 15. De Roon M. (C) 13. Ederson 22. Ruggeri M. 8. Pasalic M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
6. Camavinga E. 19. Ceballos D. 21. Diaz B. 16. Endrick 26. Fran (G) 20. Garcia F. 15. Guler A. 17. Lucas 13. Lunin A. (G) 10. Modric L. 31. Ramon J. 18. Vallejo J.	20. Bakker M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 25. Cassa F. 40. Comi P. 5. Godfrey B. 44. Manzoni A. 27. Palestra M. 32. Retegui M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 6. Sulemana I. 41. Tornaghi P. 45. Vavassori D.
Coaches
Ancelotti C.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Ederson 🟨,
35', Bellingham J. 🟨,
42', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Valverde F. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
62', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
62', Zappacosta D. ↓, Godfrey B. ↑,
64', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
68', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
71', Kolasinac S. ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
76', Rodrygo ↓, Modric L. ↑,
83', Mbappe K. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
88', Vinicius Junior ↓, Guler A. ↑,
88', Bellingham J. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
88', Carvajal D. ↓, Lucas ↑,
90', Hien I. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
90', Pasalic M. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - PGE Narodowy.

Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real is a favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Koopmeiners T. (Coach's decision) Scalvini G. (Knee Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Toloi R. (Knee Injury) Toure E. B. (Coach's decision) Zaniolo N. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Real won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Club Friendly
06.08.24	Real Madrid - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
03.08.24	Barcelona - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
31.07.24	Milan - Real Madrid	1:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.06.24	Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
25.05.24	Real Madrid - Betis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWT
- Atalanta
Club Friendly
09.08.24	St. Pauli - Atalanta	3:0 ✺
04.08.24	Parma - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.06.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:3 ✺
26.05.24	Atalanta - Torino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
16.03.21	Real Madrid - Atalanta	3:1
24.02.21	Atalanta - Real Madrid	0:1

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