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Real Madrid - Getafe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 26
  • Date: 2 March 2026, Monday
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
  • Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Real Madrid Getafe
    Real Madrid Getafe
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.38 ↑
    (1.3)    		 4.74 ↓
    (5.35)    		 9.1 ↓
    (10.49)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Real Madrid
    69.3%    		Draw
    20.2%    		Getafe
    10.5%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    73.2% 17.8% 9.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Getafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    92.9% 3.6% 3.6%

    Real Madrid - Getafe Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Getafe (1.70) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH -2 - Real (3.40) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • DC - Real (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (77 of 83 users predict this - 92.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.2% – 98.34%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 23 - 88.5%). Getafe (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. BelgiumCourtois T. (G)
    12. EnglandAlexander-Arnold T.
    22. GermanyRudiger A.
      4. AustriaAlaba D.
    18. SpainCarreras A.
    45. SpainPitarch T.
    14. FranceTchouameni A.
      8. UruguayValverde F. (C)
    15. TurkeyGuler A.
      7. BrazilVinicius Junior
    16. SpainGarcia G.
    		13. SpainSoria D. (C)
    21. SpainIglesias J.
    15. UruguayBoselli S.
    22. PortugalDuarte D.
    24. ArgentinaRomero Z.
    16. SpainRico D.
    17. SpainKiko Femenia
      5. SpainMilla L.
      8. UruguayArambarri M.
    10. UruguaySatriano M.
    19. ArgentinaVazquez L.
    Substitutes
      2. SpainCarvajal D.
    28. SpainCestero Sancho J.
    21. MoroccoDiaz B.
    20. SpainGarcia F.
    24. SpainHuijsen D.
    13. UkraineLunin A. (G)
    30. ArgentinaMastantuono F.
    23. FranceMendy F.
    43. SpainMestre S. (G)
    37. SpainMoran M. A.
    38. SpainPalacios C.
    11. BrazilRodrygo
    		  3. MoroccoAbqar A.
    18. SpainAlex Sancris
    20. SerbiaBirmancevic V.
    14. SpainJavier Munoz
      1. CzechLetacek J. (G)
    23. SpainLiso A.
      6. SpainMartin M.
    41. SpainMontes J.
    12. CameroonNyom A.
    44. SpainRiquelme A.
    Coaches
         SpainArbeloa A.
    		     SpainBordalas Jimenez J.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 1)
    • 8', Kiko Femenia 🟨,
    • 35', Arambarri M. 🟨,
    • 39', 0 - 1, Satriano M. ⚽, Arambarri M. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 55', Pitarch T. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
    • 55', Alaba D. ↓, Huijsen D. ↑,
    • 55', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
    • 58', Kiko Femenia ↓, Liso A. ↑,
    • 64', Rico D. 🟨,
    • 68', Huijsen D. 🟨,
    • 69', Guler A. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
    • 69', Vazquez L. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
    • 71', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
    • 79', Liso A. 🟨,
    • 84', Satriano M. 🟨,
    • 87', Tchouameni A. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
    • 90+1', Satriano M. ↓, Abqar A. ↑,
    • 90+4', Carreras A. 🟨,
    • 90+4', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
    • 90+5', Mastantuono F. 🟥,
    • 90+7', Liso A. 🟨,

    Preview

  • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 5.
  • Real is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In recent matches, Getafe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
  • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Real is the obvious favorite.
  • There will not play in Real: Asencio R. (Neck Injury) Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Getafe: Davinchi (Knee Injury) Djene (Red Card) Juanmi (Injury) Kamara A. (Foot Injury) Mayoral B. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Real: Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury)
  • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 41:9. (average 2.1:0.5).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:6. (average 2.6:0.6).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Real Madrid: 20.23% Getafe: 0.23%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    4Real Madrid750218:81015
    11Getafe72234:7-38

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    25.02.26 Real Madrid - Benfica 2:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    21.02.26 Osasuna - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.02.26 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    14.02.26 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺
    08.02.26 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2
    WLWWW
    - Getafe CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    22.02.26 Getafe - Sevilla 0:1 ✺
    14.02.26 Getafe - Villarreal 2:1 ✺
    08.02.26 Deportivo Alavés - Getafe 0:2 ✺
    01.02.26 Getafe - Celta de Vigo 0:0 ✺
    26.01.26 Girona - Getafe 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8
    LWWTT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    19.10.25 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    23.04.25 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    01.12.24 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:0
    01.02.24 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:2
    02.09.23 Real Madrid - Getafe 2:1
    13.05.23 Real Madrid - Getafe 1:0
    08.10.22 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Roma - Real Madrid ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Real Madrid - Villarreal ✺
    - Getafe CF
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    15.10.26 Universitatea Craiova - Getafe ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Barcelona - Getafe ✺

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