Match Info

LaLiga - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DSports
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, DAZN France, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2, Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	SCTV 22


	Real Madrid		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.13	9	15	Watch
	1.14	8.3	18.5	Watch
	1.18	9.17	13.11	Watch
	1.14	8.5	13
	1.14	10.5	17.6	Watch
	1.15	8.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 (1.15)	9 ↑ (8.8)	15.37 ↑ (13.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
83.2%

Draw
10.6%

Levante
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.4%

10.8%

6.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78%	6%	16%

Real Madrid - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Levante will win (votes: 8 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 65.9% – 89.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Levante (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Levante (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Levante (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Real (1.45) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Real (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +3 - Levante (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Real (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Levante (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 8. Valverde F. (C) 17. Asencio R. 24. Huijsen D. 18. Carreras A. 5. Bellingham J. 14. Tchouameni A. 6. Camavinga E. 16. Garcia G. 10. Mbappe K. 7. Vinicius Junior	13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela 3. Matturro A. 23. Sanchez M. 12. Vencedor U. 10. Martinez P. (C) 26. Tunde K. 24. Alvarez C. 9. Romero I. 21. Etta Eyong K.
Substitutes
4. Alaba D. 2. Carvajal D. 19. Ceballos D. 28. Cestero Sancho J. 26. Fran (G) 20. Garcia F. 15. Guler A. 35. Jimenez D. 46. Leiva A. 30. Mastantuono F. 43. Mestre S. (G) 38. Palacios C.	16. Arriaga K. 27. Cortes P. 1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Espi C. 15. Koyalipou G. 28. Krug M. 18. Losada I. 11. Morales J. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 29. Perez N. 32. Primo A. (G) 14. Raghouber U.
Coaches
Arbeloa A.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Vencedor U. 🟨,
31', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
43', Garcia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia G. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
46', Camavinga E. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Huijsen D. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Asencio R. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
66', Vencedor U. ↓, Raghouber U. ↑,
66', Etta Eyong K. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
83', Tunde K. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
83', Alvarez C. ↓, Cortes P. ↑,
83', Romero I. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
90', Asencio R. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Real is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Thigh Injury) Diaz B. (International duty) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Lunin A. (Injury) Mendy F. (Calf Injury) Rodrygo (Rest) Rudiger A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Garcia V. (Injury) Moreno M. (Injury) Rey O. (Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:22. (average 2.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:10. (average 2.9:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 20.23% Levante: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18:8	10	15
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8:12	-4	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Madrid	3:2 ✺
Spanish Supercopa
11.01.26	Barcelona - Real Madrid	3:2 ✺
08.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.26	Real Madrid - Betis	5:1 ✺
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWWW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
11.01.26	Levante - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Leonesa - Levante	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.25	Osasuna - Levante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.09.25	Levante - Real Madrid	1:4
12.05.22	Real Madrid - Levante	6:0
22.08.21	Levante - Real Madrid	3:3
30.01.21	Real Madrid - Levante	1:2
04.10.20	Levante - Real Madrid	0:2
22.02.20	Levante - Real Madrid	1:0
14.09.19	Real Madrid - Levante	3:2

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