What is the expert prediction for Levante vs Real Sociedad?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Levante vs Real Sociedad. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Levante vs Real Sociedad Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 20, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 17

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Cuadra G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Levante		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.98	3.25	2.48
	3.2	3.31	2.38
	3.09	3.35	2.36	Watch
	3	3.1	2.38
	3.21	3.33	2.48	Watch
	3	3.33	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↓ (3.18)	3.28 ↓ (3.51)	2.41 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
31.2%

Draw
29.2%

Real Sociedad
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.1%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

27.1%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	10.3%	79.3%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Real Sociedad (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Levante (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Sociedad will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Levante (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Real Sociedad (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela 2. Moreno M. 23. Sanchez M. 12. Vencedor U. 16. Arriaga K. 17. Garcia V. 10. Martinez P. (C) 24. Alvarez C. 9. Romero I.	1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 17. Gomez S. 4. Gorrotxategi J. 14. Kubo T. 24. Sucic L. 28. Marin P. 11. Guedes G. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C)
Substitutes
14. Cabello J. 1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Espi C. 18. Losada I. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 29. Perez N. 32. Primo A. (G) 20. Rey O. 26. Tunde K. 6. Varela Pampin D.	44. Astiazaran L. 16. Caleta-Car D. 22. Goti Lopez M. 34. Mariezkurrena A. 13. Marrero U. (G) 23. Mendez B. 3. Munoz A. 20. Odriozola A. 15. Sadiq U. 18. Soler C. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Zakharyan A.
Coaches
Del Moral A.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Martinez P. 🟨,
37', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Gorrotxategi J. 🟨,
53', Vencedor U. 🟨,
67', Martinez P. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
70', Guedes G. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
70', Sucic L. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
71', Arriaga K. 🟨,
73', Romero I. 🟨,
74', Toljan J. ↓, Tunde K. ↑,
74', Moreno M. ↓, Matturro A. ↑,
74', Dela 🟨,
82', Romero I. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
82', Vencedor U. ↓, Rey O. ↑,
83', Marin P. ↓, Soler C. ↑,
84', Sanchez M. 🟨,
90+1', Kubo T. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
90+1', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Astiazaran L. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Dela (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 2.

Recent form of Levante has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Sociedad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Levante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Levante has had a series of away games.

Real Sociedad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Knee Injury) Elgezabal U. (Knee Injury) Etta Eyong K. (International duty) Koyalipou G. (Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aramburu J. (Yellow Cards) Barrenetxea A. (Muscle Injury) Herrera Y. (Calf Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Oskarsson O. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Levante won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

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Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 43.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Leonesa - Levante	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
08.12.25	Osasuna - Levante	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Ciudad de Cieza - Levante	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Levante - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Valencia - Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eldense - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.12.25	Real Sociedad - Girona	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Reus FC Reddis - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
06.05.22	Levante - Real Sociedad	2:1
28.08.21	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:0
07.03.21	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:0
19.12.20	Levante - Real Sociedad	2:1
06.07.20	Levante - Real Sociedad	1:1
30.10.19	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:2
15.03.19	Real Sociedad - Levante	1:1

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