Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1
Australia	beIN Sports 2
Austria	Laola1
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iran	IRIB TV3
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Malta	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	Disney+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1


	Real Madrid		Málaga

	1	X	2
	1.09	11.00	21.00	Watch
	1.12	10.50	18.00
	1.08	11.50	23.00	Watch
	1.11	12.05	27.00
	1.09	13.17	19.57	Watch
	1.09	11.00	25.00
	1.10	12.50	24.00	Watch
	1.10	12.00	25.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.18)	11.72 ↑ (7.84)	22.82 ↑ (13.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
87.6%

Draw
8.2%

Málaga
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.9%

12.2%

6.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid's performance.

Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	16.7%	2.8%

Real Madrid - Málaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 28 - 80%). Málaga will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 66.7% – 93.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Courtois T. (G) 12. Alexander-Arnold T. 22. Rudiger A. 4. Huijsen D. 17. Cucurella M. 8. Valverde F. (C) 6. Camavinga E. 21. Diaz B. 5. Bellingham J. 7. Vinicius Junior 10. Mbappe K.	1. Herrero A. (C) 3. Puga C. 15. Recio A. 4. Galilea E. 31. Rafita 23. Merino I. 10. Larrubia D. 8. Dotor C. 14. Rodriguez R. 11. Munoz J. 9. Chupe
Substitutes
18. Carreras A. 29. Cestero Sancho J. 36. Ciria A. 25. Diomande Y. 24. Dumfries D. 19. Espi C. 15. Guler A. 16. Konate I. 13. Lunin A. (G) 31. Navarro Jimenez J. (G) 33. Rivas M. 20. Silva B.	7. Abaida H. 19. Cruz J. 6. Enriquez R. 32. Fernandez J. 17. Jauregi E. 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 18. Martinez P. 28. Otunenche J. 5. Pastor A. 12. Salinas J.
Coaches
Mourinho J.	Funes J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Bellingham J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Herrero A. (Own goal),
30', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez R. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
61', Munoz J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
61', Puga C. ↓, Salinas J. ↑,
65', Diaz B. ↓, Diomande Y. ↑,
66', Chupe 🟨,
74', Galilea E. ↓, Abaida H. ↑,
77', Valverde F. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
87', Bellingham J. ↓, Guler A. ↑,
87', Merino I. ↓, Enriquez R. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 0, Guler A. ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
90+3', Enriquez R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.

Real has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Málaga has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Málaga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Málaga has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Real: Asencio R. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Endrick (Muscle Injury) Mendy F. (Hip Injury) Pitarch T. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Tchouameni A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Málaga: Calero F. (Ribs Injury) Diarra M. (Calf Injury) Murillo D. (Injury) Nino A. (Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:13. (average 2.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Madrid: 20.2% Malaga: 0.15%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Madrid	8	6	0	2	19:8	11	18
19	Malaga	8	0	4	4	4:13	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
22.08.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Schalke 04 - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Real Madrid - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWT
- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga
24.08.26	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Málaga - Fulham	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	Málaga - Al-Arabi Doha	4:2 ✺
30.07.26	Málaga - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.04.18	Málaga - Real Madrid	1:2
25.11.17	Real Madrid - Málaga	3:2
21.05.17	Málaga - Real Madrid	0:2
21.01.17	Real Madrid - Málaga	2:1
21.02.16	Málaga - Real Madrid	1:1
26.09.15	Real Madrid - Málaga	0:0
18.04.15	Real Madrid - Málaga	3:1

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