Match Info

LaLiga - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Girona		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.9
	2.32	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.48	3.35	3.17
	2.40	3.53	2.84	Watch
	2.43	3.42	3.21	Watch
	2.4	3.35	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.52)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	3.06 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
40.1%

Draw
28.6%

Valencia
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

26.5%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

27.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20.8%	29.2%

Girona - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 12 - 52.2%). Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Girona: 31.8% – 72.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Valencia (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Girona (1.63) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Girona (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Girona (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Valencia (votes: 3 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 16. Frances A. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 4. Martinez A. (C) 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 24. Moreno A. 10. Asprilla Y. 19. Vanat V. 8. Portu	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 12. Correia T. 5. Tarrega C. (C) 4. Diakhaby M. 21. Vazquez J. 11. Rioja L. 22. Santamaria B. 18. Pepelu 16. Lopez D. 15. Beltran L. 7. Danjuma A.
Substitutes
43. Andreev A. (G) 44. Ba P. 21. Gil B. 28. Jordana G. 29. Kourouma L. 1. Livakovic D. (G) 2. Rincon H. 30. Sarasa J. 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C.	10. Almeida A. 24. Comert E. 3. Copete J. 1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 9. Duro H. 20. Foulquier D. 14. Gaya J. 8. Guerra J. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 26. Rubo 23. Ugrinic F.
Coaches
Michel	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Diakhaby M. ↓, Copete J. ↑,
18', 1 - 0, Vanat V. ⚽,
23', Frances A. ↓, Rincon H. ↑,
45+1', Vitor Reis 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Santamaria B. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
55', Rioja L. 🟨,
57', Martin I. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽, Danjuma A. (A),
63', 2 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,
68', Vanat V. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
72', Correia T. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
72', Beltran L. ↓, Duro H. ↑,
80', Martin I. 🟨,
83', Lopez D. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
83', Asprilla Y. ↓, Kourouma L. ↑,
84', Portu 🟨,
84', Portu ↓, Gil B. ↑,
90+6', Martinez A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 3.

Girona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Valencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Girona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (International duty) Lemar T. (Foot Injury) Lopez D. (Muscle Injury) Ounahi A. (Foot Injury) Roca J. (International duty) Ruiz A. (Muscle Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Ugrinic F. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Girona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
26.09.25	Girona - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Girona	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Girona - Levante	0:4 ✺
14.09.25	Celta de Vigo - Girona	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Girona - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTLTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
30.09.25	Valencia - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Espanyol - Valencia	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Valencia - Athletic Bilbao	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Barcelona - Valencia	6:0 ✺
29.08.25	Valencia - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
15.03.25	Girona - Valencia	1:1
21.09.24	Valencia - Girona	2:0
19.05.24	Valencia - Girona	1:3
02.12.23	Girona - Valencia	2:1
05.02.23	Girona - Valencia	1:0
14.08.22	Valencia - Girona	1:0
10.03.19	Girona - Valencia	2:3

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