Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.4	2.87
	2.35	3.3	2.65
	2.21	3.2	2.9
	2.33	3.42	2.92
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.51	3.42	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.23)	3.28 ↑ (3.17)	2.87 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
40.3%

Draw
27.9%

Albacete Balompié
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

19.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albacete Balompié could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid Castilla - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Real Madrid Castilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albacete is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Real Madrid Castilla have a series of guest games.

Real Madrid Castilla will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.22	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
27.02.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	4:1 ✺
20.02.22	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
06.02.22	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Barcelona B - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLT
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.03.22	San Fernando - Albacete Balompié	3:3 ✺
26.02.22	Albacete Balompié - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
20.02.22	Barcelona B - Albacete Balompié	2:2 ✺
16.02.22	Albacete Balompié - Sabadell	1:1 ✺
13.02.22	Albacete Balompié - Cornellà	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.09.21	Albacete Balompié - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.05.17	Albacete Balompié - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
17.12.16	Real Madrid Castilla - Albacete Balompié	3:1

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