Match Info

Date: 19 September 2021, Sunday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Gimnástic de Tarragona

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.25	3.1	2.87
	2.25	3	3
	2.12	3.2	3.1
	2.16	3.41	3.11
	2.17	3.26	3.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.61)	3.16 ↑ (2.97)	3.14 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
42.1%

Draw
28.9%

Gimnástic de Tarragona
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

22%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Madrid Castilla's performance.

Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gimnàstic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
04.09.21	Real Madrid Castilla - San Fernando	4:0 ✺
29.08.21	Linense - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
18.08.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWT
- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.09.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Betis B	2:0 ✺
05.09.21	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	1:0 ✺
29.08.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.21	Olot - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Barcelona B - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWT

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