The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 50%
Draw 25.1%
Austin II 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
24.9%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
25.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Monarchs's performance.
Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Austin II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Austin II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
Real Monarchs - Austin II Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Real Monarchs will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Monarchs (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Stajduhar M. (G) 67. Charpie W. 3. Henry K. 32. Farnsworth Z. 77. Mesalles R. 81. Dillon G. 34. Moisa L. 39. Hezarkhani A. 30. Anderson O. 17. Brook L. 36. Barea J.
12. Farrar C. (G) 2. Thomas R. 4. Gomez A. 41. Bery J. 3. Bonachera R. 8. Torres E. 10. Alastuey J. 14. Djakaria B. 77. Abarca D. 17. Danciutiu V. 26. Farkarlun B.
Substitutes
61. Amparo I. 89. Berrios D. 55. Calderon G. 87. Campaz B. 94. Duke C. 95. Mackay W. (G) 40. Marquez O. 33. Silva T. 56. Touray O.
1. Alstrup M. (G) 31. Avila C. 27. Badawiya M. 32. Burton M. 34. Ciesla D. 6. Gonzalez A. 9. Grogan P. 35. Moreno C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Dillon G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Anderson O. 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Barea J. ⚽,
63', Bonachera R. ↓, Ciesla D. ↑,
63', Abarca D. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
63', Danciutiu V. ↓, Grogan P. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Farkarlun B. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
75', Charpie W. ↓, Calderon G. ↑,
75', Brook L. ↓, Touray O. ↑,
75', Anderson O. ↓, Marquez O. ↑,
75', Dillon G. ↓, Berrios D. ↑,
83', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Campaz B. ↑,
84', Mesalles R. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
87', Farkarlun B. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
90+2', Torres E. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Gonzalez A. (Pen),
1, Marquez O. (Pen),
2, Ciesla D. (Pen),
2, Silva T. (Pen),
3, Alastuey J. (Pen),
3, Farnsworth Z. (Pen),
4, Gomez A. (Pen),
4, Henry K. (Pen),
5, Grogan P. (Pen),
5, Barea J. (Pen),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
Real Monarchs has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Austin II is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Austin II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Real Monarchs might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Monarchs won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).