The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Monarchs 26.4%
Draw 25.8%
El Paso Locomotive 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.8%
24.3%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
19.4%
65.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Monarchs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
El Paso Locomotive has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Monarchs than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Monarchs that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Paso Locomotive than the current prediction. (+17.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Paso Locomotive could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Monarchs - El Paso Locomotive Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 4).
Real Monarchs has the most likely position - 7 (69.44%), has project points - 31, has currently - 10, has a small chance of playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
El Paso has the most likely position - 1 (37.15%), has project points - 53, has currently - 18, has a good chance of playoffs (85%), has a chance of qtrs (46%), has a chance of semis (22%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Recent matches Real Monarchs is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
El Paso is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Real Monarchs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
El Paso will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Real Monarchs won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Real Monarchs won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.