Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 28

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)


	Real Murcia		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.4	5.75
	1.63	3.1	5.5
	1.7	3.2	5
	1.7	3.34	5.64
	1.65	3.42	5.65
	1.66	3.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.64)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)	5.49 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
55.1%

Draw
28.1%

La Nucía
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

28.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

27.2%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

La Nucía has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Real Murcia - La Nucía Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 14).

Murcia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches La Nucía is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.03.23	Sabadell - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Real Murcia - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Calahorra - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	UD Logroñés - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Real Murcia - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTWW
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.03.23	Eldense - La Nucía	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	La Nucía - Numancia	0:1 ✺
19.02.23	La Nucía - SD Logroñés	2:2 ✺
12.02.23	Osasuna B - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	La Nucía - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.11.22	La Nucía - Real Murcia	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.03.22	Real Murcia - La Nucía	1:2
07.11.21	La Nucía - Real Murcia	1:2

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