Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)


	Real Murcia		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.1	4.75
	1.75	3.2	4.1
	1.92	3	3.95
	2.23	2.95	2.9
	1.8	3.42	4.79
	1.78	3.4	4.55
	1.81	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.27)	3.19 ↑ (2.88)	4.18 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
49.4%

Draw
28.7%

Real Sociedad B
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

31.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

32.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Real Sociedad B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Sociedad B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Real Murcia - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Murcia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Murcia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murcia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.23	SD Logroñés - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
21.01.23	Real Murcia - Athletic Bilbao B	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.23	Real Murcia - Paderborn	1:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
14.01.23	Eldense - Real Murcia	1:0 ✺
07.01.23	Real Murcia - Amorebieta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLT
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.01.23	Barcelona B - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Real Sociedad B - Intercity	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Amorebieta - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
08.01.23	Real Sociedad B - SD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
17.12.22	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.09.22	Real Sociedad B - Real Murcia	1:2

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