Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Murcia		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.3	5.5
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.62	3.5	5.6
	1.6	3.51	5.86
	1.58	3.52	5.79	Watch
	1.58	3.54	5.97
	1.62	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.75)	3.47 ↑ (3.29)	5.65 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
57.4%

Draw
26.4%

Fuenlabrada
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

27.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

27.6%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 4. Saveljich E. 6. Gonzalez A. 21. Cadete 9. Benito P. A. P. 30. Palmberg 10. Gomez I. 20. Davo 23. Bosilj D. 12. Alcania R.	1. Diaz L. (G) 17. Ouacharaf B. 4. Mauro M. 6. Alvaro Garcia 20. Casas I. 8. Ruiz Fer 16. Aguza S. 10. Galindo A. 14. Barbosa A. 9. Omoigui C. 7. Manu
Substitutes
16. Boateng R. 7. Buron L. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 2. Mier J. 24. Moha Moukhliss 13. Piedra I. (G) 19. Soler K. 27. Toral A. 15. Yriarte J.	11. Abde 5. Alba D. 3. Barbu 13. Bloch F. (G) 19. Faure I. 22. Javi Curras 15. Moyano A. 12. Pinan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Bosilj D. ⚽,
32', Gomez I. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
33', Benito P. A. P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Barbosa A. ↓, Abde ↑,
59', Galindo A. ↓, Moyano A. ↑,
59', Ruiz Fer ↓, Pinan A. ↑,
66', Alcania R. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
66', Davo ↓, Toral A. ↑,
82', Bosilj D. ↓, Leon P. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Juan Carlos ⚽, Vicente D. (A),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Marbella - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.03.25	Fuenlabrada - Algeciras	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Betis B - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Intercity	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Hércules - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Fuenlabrada - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.12.24	Fuenlabrada - Real Murcia	0:0
Club Friendly
03.08.16	Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada	3:0

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