Match Info

Primera B - Round 36

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Pilar-Carlos Barraza (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Real Pilar		Arsenal Sarandí

	1	X	2
	2.90	2.70	2.40
	2.95	2.68	2.42	Watch
	3.02	2.85	2.63
	3.09	2.75	2.46	Watch
	2.95	2.55	2.45
	3.06	2.65	2.49
	2.95	2.7	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.14)	2.7 ↓ (2.8)	2.47 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
30.1%

Draw
33.4%

Arsenal Sarandí
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

32.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

32.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Real Pilar - Arsenal Sarandí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Abre F. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Gelos V. 4. Isola G. 8. Mancini V. 7. Martin B. 5. Pansardi F. 9. Riquelme M. D. 10. Vergara D.	1. Lobelos J. (G) 11. Cabral D. 6. Cabrera I. 4. Caceres R. 5. Colletta T. 9. Kestler I. 2. Peralta I. 3. Perez D. (C) 10. Sosa M. 7. Trombini M. 8. Vila J.
Substitutes
14. Achucarro D. 13. Basualdo N. 18. Camargo T. 16. Cesar J. 20. Delari T. 17. Gonzalez D. 15. Rios N. 19. Rodriguez E. 12. Sanchez S. (G)	14. Antilef A. 13. Brienzo N. 16. Del Col M. 15. Frascone N. 17. La Roza U. 18. Lucero M. 20. Ochoa J. 12. Pezzini N. (G) 19. Wrubel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Caceres R. 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Mancini V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vila J. ↓, Frascone N. ↑,
46', Caceres R. ↓, Del Col M. ↑,
49', Riquelme M. D. 🟨,
54', Cabral D. ↓, La Roza U. ↑,
60', Colletta T. 🟨,
61', Colletta T. ↓, Lucero M. ↑,
61', Martin B. ↓, Achucarro D. ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', Trombini M. ↓, Ochoa J. ↑,
71', Franco E. ↓, Camargo T. ↑,
71', Vergara D. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
73', 🟨,
76', Mancini V. ↓, Delari T. ↑,
76', Isola G. ↓, Basualdo N. ↑,
82', Cabrera I. 🟥,
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Playoffs).

Real Pilar is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Arsenal Sarandí may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Real Pilar has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal Sarandi	38	19	12	7	50:25	25	69
7	Real Pilar	38	17	10	11	42:38	4	61

Last Results with these Odds

Real Pilar - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 28.69%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera B
11.09.26	Argentino de Merlo - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Real Pilar - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Real Pilar - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Armenio - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWW
- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera B
12.09.26	Arsenal Sarandí - UAI Urquiza	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Villa Dálmine - Arsenal Sarandí	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Excursionistas	3:0 ✺
25.08.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Arsenal Sarandí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
10.05.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Real Pilar	2:1

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