Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 21

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday


	Real Pilar		Justo José de Urquiza

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.13	2.91	3.44
	2.13	2.91	3.43
	2.2	3.25	2.88
	2.09	3.08	3.41
	2.12	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.5)	3.01 ↓ (3.2)	3.29 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Pilar
42.4%

Draw
30.1%

Justo José de Urquiza
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Pilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Pilar's performance.

Justo José de Urquiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Justo José de Urquiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Pilar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justo José de Urquiza than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justo José de Urquiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Pilar - Justo José de Urquiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Crocco M. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Martin B. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Martin B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Barraza M. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 4).

Recent matches Real Pilar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Justo José de Urquiza is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Justo José de Urquiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Real Pilar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Pilar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Pilar FC
Argentinian Primera C
03.06.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Real Pilar	0:5 ✺
19.05.24	Real Pilar - Argentino de Rosario	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
04.05.24	Real Pilar - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:2 ✺
30.04.24	Deportivo Español - Real Pilar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLTLW
- Justo José de Urquiza
Argentinian Primera C
01.06.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Argentino de Rosario	0:1 ✺
27.05.24	Defensores de Cambaceres - Justo José de Urquiza	0:0 ✺
19.05.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Atlas General Rodríguez	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Deportivo Español - Justo José de Urquiza	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
02.07.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Real Pilar	2:0
27.02.23	Real Pilar - Justo José de Urquiza	1:2

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