The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Potosí 56.9%
Draw 22.8%
Oriente Petrolero 20.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.9%
26.4%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
25.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Potosí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Potosí's performance.
Oriente Petrolero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oriente Petrolero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Potosí that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oriente Petrolero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Potosí - Oriente Petrolero Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez C. (G) 17. Cuellar D. 18. Rivas J. 2. Rioja J. 4. Villegas K. 35. Vedia C. 77. Rojas J. 8. Cardenas I. 6. Thomas J. 11. Gomez M. (C) 23. Ali L.
1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (C) 24. Velasco M. 3. Mizael Monteiro 44. Lopez F. 6. Rodriguez D. 15. Gonzales Mejia F. 20. Lovera J. 30. Berdecio J. 11. Vaca L. 29. Escobar J. 7. Flores J.
Substitutes
30. Alipaz J. 19. Brito A. 10. Castellon V. 12. Condori B. 90. Gimenez L. 91. Plaza S. 25. Sandy D. (G) 44. Severiche S. 36. Somoya M. 31. Terrazas R. 13. Vargas J. 14. Velasquez E.
13. Bernal J. (G) 17. Galindo S. 77. Herrera J. 18. Mamani B. 91. Nacif N. 90. Pena A. 19. Perez F. 42. Roca D. 9. Roskopf M. 8. Siles O. 28. Velasco J. 5. Virreira J.
Coaches
Umana G.
Florentin G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Velasco M. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Cardenas I. (Own goal),
30', 1 - 1, Rojas J. ⚽, Vedia C. (A),
44', Flores J. 🟨,
45+2', Vedia C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Flores J. ↓, Virreira J. ↑,
46', Velasco M. ↓, Mamani B. ↑,
46', Gomez M. ↓, Condori B. ↑,
60', Berdecio J. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
63', Thomas J. ↓, Vargas J. ↑,
63', Ali L. ↓, Castellon V. ↑,
65', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
69', Lopez F. 🟨,
74', Rivas J. ↓, Plaza S. ↑,
80', Mamani B. ↓, Nacif N. ↑,
82', Virreira J. 🟨,
82', Bernal J. 🟨,
85', Herrera J. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
90', Vargas J. ↓, Alipaz J. ↑,
90+1', Gomez M. 🟨,
90+8', Virreira J. 🟨,
90+11', Gomez M. 🟥,
90+11', Flores J. 🟥,
90+13', Siles O. 🟨,
90+16', 2 - 1, Plaza S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Potosí won 1.
Real Potosí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Oriente Petrolero is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Real Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real Potosí has had a series of away games.
In this match, Real Potosí is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Potosí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Real Potosí won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
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Martinez C. (G) 
Cuellar D. 
Rivas J. 
Mizael Monteiro 
Lopez F. 
Escobar J. 
Florentin G. 
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